Brief Climate Change Risks to the Soybean Value Chain in Ethiopia: Proactive Actions for Resilience in the Ethiopian Food System Resilience Program Districts

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Abstract

Soybean, an economically important and rising cash crop in Ethiopia, is evidently challenged by climate change and variability. The projected risks posing threats to the soybean value chain are: • By 2035, rainfall in soybean-producing areas is projected to increase by 57-210 mm across the soybean-growing areas with an increased variability by up to 17%. • Maximum and minimum temperatures in soybean-producing areas will increase by 0.84-1.310C and 1.13-1.520C , respectively. • Rainfall extremes such as the number of rainy, heavy rain and very heavy rain days, and consecutive wet days will increase. • Temperature extremes such as hot days and hot nights will increase, and diurnal temperature ranges will decline. Alterations in key climatic variables will have several socio-economic and environmental implications that demand proactive actions.